After round 17 of 23, the Singapore Grand Prix

Who can still win the 2026 Formula 1 drivers' title?

Next roundUnited States Grand Prix, Austin

What Antonelli needs in Austin

Antonelli clinches the title in Austin with a win if Russell finishes 9th or lower and Hamilton 5th or lower. Verstappen, Leclerc and Norris can finish anywhere.

Nothing less than a win will do.

  • With Antonelli 1st and Russell 9th, Russell could still draw level on points, with Antonelli ahead on wins 9 to 8.
  • How the countback works
What each rival must finish for Antonelli to clinch the title in Austin, by Antonelli's own result.
Antonelli's resultRussellHamiltonVerstappenLeclercNorris
Win9th or lower, rests on the countback5th or lowerAnyAnyAny
2nd or lowerCannot clinch whatever Russell, Hamilton, Verstappen, Leclerc and Norris do.
  • Antonelli clinches the title if the rival finishes as shown or lower
  • Any: the rival can finish anywhere
  • Antonelli cannot clinch with this result
  • † Rests on the countback: this result leaves the points level, with Antonelli ahead on the countback

When the title can be decided

Earliest clinch
AustinRound 18, 25 October
Decided by
Abu DhabiThe final round, 6 December
Rounds left
6Austin to Abu Dhabi
Points still available
150to one driver
Still in contention
6 of 23drivers
Gap to second
102 pointsRussell on 238

Standings

Drivers still in contention
DriverPointsGapMax possibleStatus
1AntonelliMercedes3400490Leader

Leads on 340 with 150 still available.

2RussellMercedes238102388In contention

Russell can still win the 2026 title: 102 points behind Antonelli with 150 still to play for, but is out if outscored by 23 or more in Austin.

  • Being outscored by exactly 23 would only draw level on points, with Antonelli ahead on the countback.
3HamiltonFerrari229111379In contention

Hamilton can still win the 2026 title: 111 points behind Antonelli with 150 still to play for, but is out if outscored by 14 or more in Austin.

  • Being outscored by exactly 14 would only draw level on points, with Antonelli ahead on wins.
4VerstappenRed Bull221119371In contention

Verstappen can still win the 2026 title: 119 points behind Antonelli with 150 still to play for, but is out if outscored by 6 or more in Austin.

  • Being outscored by exactly 6 would only draw level on points, with Antonelli ahead on the countback.
5LeclercFerrari215125365In contention

Leclerc can still win the 2026 title, but must outscore Antonelli in Austin to stay in contention.

  • Scoring exactly as many points as Antonelli would only draw level on points, with Antonelli ahead on wins.
6NorrisMcLaren201139351In contention

Norris can still win the 2026 title, but must outscore Antonelli by at least 15 points in Austin to stay in contention.

  • Outscoring Antonelli by exactly 14 would only draw level on points, with Antonelli ahead on the countback.
17 drivers eliminated
Eliminated drivers
DriverPointsGapMax possibleEliminated
7PiastriMcLaren138202288After the Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia

Piastri cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 52 points short of Antonelli on 340.

8HadjarRed Bull97243247After the Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Hadjar cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 93 points short of Antonelli on 340.

9LawsonRacing Bulls75265225After the Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Lawson cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 115 points short of Antonelli on 340.

10GaslyAlpine41299191After the Spanish Grand Prix

Gasly cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 149 points short of Antonelli on 340.

11LindbladRacing Bulls38302188After the Spanish Grand Prix

Lindblad cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 152 points short of Antonelli on 340.

12ColapintoAlpine27313177After the Spanish Grand Prix

Colapinto cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 163 points short of Antonelli on 340.

13BearmanHaas23317173After the Spanish Grand Prix

Bearman cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 167 points short of Antonelli on 340.

14HülkenbergAudi13327163After the Italian Grand Prix

Hülkenberg cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 177 points short of Antonelli on 340.

15BortoletoAudi10330160After the Spanish Grand Prix

Bortoleto cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 180 points short of Antonelli on 340.

16OconHaas7333157After the Italian Grand Prix

Ocon cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 183 points short of Antonelli on 340.

17AlonsoAston Martin7333157After the Italian Grand Prix

Alonso cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 183 points short of Antonelli on 340.

18SainzWilliams7333157After the Italian Grand Prix

Sainz cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 183 points short of Antonelli on 340.

19AlbonWilliams5335155After the Italian Grand Prix

Albon cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 185 points short of Antonelli on 340.

20TsunodaRacing Bulls1339151After the Italian Grand Prix

Tsunoda cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 189 points short of Antonelli on 340.

21StrollAston Martin0340150After the Italian Grand Prix

Stroll cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 190 points short of Antonelli on 340.

22BottasCadillac0340150After the Italian Grand Prix

Bottas cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 190 points short of Antonelli on 340.

23PérezCadillac0340150After the Italian Grand Prix

Pérez cannot win the 2026 title: a perfect run to the end would still fall 190 points short of Antonelli on 340.